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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity

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To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (11167)12/18/2001 1:09:49 PM
From: Think4Yourself  Read Replies (2) of 23153
 
What I think investors are not understanding right now are the basics of how chip production works. Smaller line widths combined with larger wafer sizes makes for MUCH larger quantities of chips produced each year. There is a serious excess of production capacity out there but investors seem to think it will magically be swallowed up at a profit, and that manufacturers will use those magical profits to buy billions of dollars of new chip manufacturing equipment.

IMHO it ain't gonna happen. PC's are done...finished...a mature industry like televisions or stereos. There are other areas of technology that won't do too bad, such as DVD players, so noncomputer dependent chip makers won't die. The glory days are over, at least until something new comes along.

Looks to me like Biotech is becoming the next hot area.
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