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Strategies & Market Trends : The Covered Calls for Dummies Thread

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To: rydad who wrote (3162)12/19/2001 1:58:27 PM
From: Dominick  Read Replies (3) of 5205
 
IV are the initials for Implied Volatility. That's what the market makers think the future volatility would be till expiration. HV stands for Historical Volatility. HV is the actual volatility of stock prices that has occurred in the past.

A quick way to find a 68% chance, (one standard deviation), of a possible range the stock could be within is to multiply the IV times the current price. Add the result to the current price for the high, then subtract the result from the current price to find the low. This would be the possible range a stock could travel till expiration.

F.E. NTAP current price 25 with an IV of 87%. 25 * .87 = 21.75. 21.75 + 25 = 46.75. This is the high of the range. 25 -21.75 = 3.25. This is the low of the range. So, there is a 68% chance of the stock till expiration being within a range of $46.75 to $3.25.

Hope this helps,

dom@luvthisstuff.com
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