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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: tekboy who wrote (14195)12/19/2001 11:22:12 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
The problem is not just mastering the technical ability to shoot down a warhead...it's how to do so reliably, the first time out, without warning, amid lots of decoys. I'd say the odds of that are pretty low.

Intially yes and against a full scale Russian attack, maybe more then initally. But against after a decade or two I think a pretty effective defense against smaller attacks could be put in place.

But if (as is actually the case) the financial cost will be somewhere in the 12 figure range

Over decades yes it would be that high, but what major US government program wont be that high when measured over the next 2 or 3 decades?

and if it carries political and diplomatic costs as well,

I don't think these costs will be too major.

The way to look at this is as a pragmatic question of defense policy,

Looked at that way I think we should develop and eventually deploy missile defenses esp. considering the proliferation of nuclear and missile technology.

Would this be considered off topic? We could take the conversation elsewhere if you would like to continue.

As for the bubble chart I only posted that one because of the JDSU reference in this discussion. Like you I have had big losses in my portfolio. My biggest holdings where not as volitle as JDSU but I had options worth more then the current total of my non-retirement account expire worthless.

Tim
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