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To: Dave who wrote (17479)12/20/2001 1:04:36 PM
From: slacker711  Read Replies (2) of 34857
 
Hundreds of Billions???? I think you are overexaggerating that figure. Perhaps in multiple upgrades from AMPS to TDMA to whatever, in toto.

Perhaps....but I seem to remember articles that stated European operators would spend as much on infrastructure as they had on licenses. This would definitely get them in the $100 Billion dollar range. I think estimates were around $300 Billion for both the licenses and the networks (just in Europe!). The recent decisions to allow network sharing will bring this number down.

I would find it hard to believe that Qualcomm has identified each of every improvement, and all the variety of improvements, to each and every aspect of their air interface.

I'll try restating it....

Let's say they made an improvement to power control. This improvement will have been incorporated into the CDMA2000 standard. The underlying power control patent may expire but if you want your handset to connect to a CDMA2000 network you will need to use the improvement. You may be right that an IS-95A handset could be developed without Qualcomm's patents (since the standard will be pretty old) but the W-CDMA and 1xrtt/1xEV-DO standards have had new techniques built-in....which I think likely incorporate new Q patents.

It's ironic...but the standards process has screwed Qualcomm over the years but it will be the source of their longevity.

You are right that a 4G standard will have even less of Q's intellectual property in it. I still think that a spin of the ASIC unit will eventually be necessary. They will never has much control over the industry as they have had with 3G.

Slacker
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