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Politics : WAR on Terror. Will it engulf the Entire Middle East?
SPY 683.47+0.6%Nov 28 4:00 PM EST

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To: Dennis O'Bell who wrote (1362)12/29/2001 1:52:49 AM
From: Scoobah  Read Replies (1) of 32591
 
FULL-SCALE WAR THREATENS ASIA December 29, 2001

Newsmax.com reports: “The dangers of a full-scale India-Pakistan war are far greater than they have been in 30 years. And they are increased by the possible temptations on both sides to strike while the other is at a disadvantage.
India is pushing ahead with developing a survivable second-strike nuclear capability by putting homemade cruise missiles on diesel-powered submarines. It still appears to be years away from achieving this capability. But if it does, it will regain the strategic edge over Pakistan.

Both nations already have nuclear missile capabilities. But neither has hardened missile silos, and the main nuclear bases of each vast nation are well known to the other.

If full-scale war breaks out between the two giant nations of South Asia, that consideration could tempt hard-line Pakistani army chiefs into considering going nuclear during the hostilities.

The temptation on both sides is correspondingly greater to launch a pre-emptive nuclear strike that could plausibly annihilate the entire nuclear strategic offensive capability of the other side and leave its cities defenseless.

Pakistan is run by a direct military government. Therefore its decision- making processes are not subject to the same restraints, constraints and complex processes that India's are.

This could increase the danger of a pre-emptive first strike from India as well as from Pakistan. In the terrifying logic of nuclear war theory, the very possibility that Pakistan may be thought more likely to launch first could also increase the nervousness of India's military and political leaders on their own nuclear buttons…”

jvim.com
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