>Sorry 'Bout That! If Wall Street's strategists picked stock-price targets by flinging darts, they might have done a better job of forecasting the market's performance in 2001. The most conservative seers expected the Dow Industrials to end the year at 11,000, while the most bullish saw the Dow hitting new highs above 13,000. More likely, the humbled average will finish the year around 10,150, down some 14% from its January 2000 high of 11,723.
2001 DJIA Prediction Strategist Company Douglas Cliggott J.P. Morgan 11,000 Richard Bernstein Merrill Lynch 11,000 Thomas McManus Banc of America Securities 11,500 Stuart Freeman A.G. Edwards 12,500 Thomas Galvin Credit Suisse First Boston 12,650 Abby Joseph Cohen Goldman Sachs 13,000 Jeffrey Applegate Lehman Brothers 13,000 Edward Kerschner UBS Warburg 13,900 Dow Jones Industrial Average* 10,137
*As of December 28<<
even though my range was broken for a brief period, it was a lot closer than these clowns. I predict the Dow will end up 10% lower in 2002 from current levels. |