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Pastimes : Home on the range where the buffalo roam

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To: Boplicity who wrote (5208)	12/31/2001 2:04:11 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) of 13815

January Smallcap Effect up next happens almost every year poorer liquidity hurts them late in year, but helps them early in new year window dressing dont include them much late in year, but search for gains helps them early in new year any opinions on this effect, Mr BoPeep? I think energy will stage a nice comeback in early months this new year with growth stocks participating significantly and security stocks of various kinds doing well (facility, cops, computers, ecommerce) but by autumn, a real sorry selloff for techs as prospects of Fed tightening become very real GreenScrotum will want to get rates back in line before he imagines more inflationary ghosts of course, deflation is the more certain threat as Japan and Asia implode (all except China) gonna be an interesting year as we observe the recovery I expect it will be less robust than expected and portrayed monetary and fiscal stimulus has saved us from much deeper recession imho USDollar is too strong to enable real strong recovery wreckage like Japan and Argentina must be cleared first would love to hear your opinions thanks / jim

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