VI: IN WHICH GEORGE CONFRONTS HIS OWN MORTALITY
Cooper Island, June 18, 2 o'clock in the afternoon. In the huge amphitheater of the sky, several weather systems are playing simultaneously -- rain to the south, cumulus clouds to the north -- but for the moment the feature attraction is directly overhead: azure skies, not a cloud above, and the sun warming the air to an astonishing 35 degrees. With no wind for the first time in over two weeks (and no trees to rustle in a breeze), the island's birds have complete dominance of the sound stage: honk of geese, warble of snow buntings and -- the soundtrack of the Arctic -- the upward yodeling of long-tailed ducks as they fly in perfect V-formation above our heads. My, what a beautiful day!
The good weather is of more than passing interest to us right now. Four days ago, just minutes before he was scheduled to airlift me off the island and resupply George and Tamara with food, Gary Quarles radioed that he wouldn't be coming out after all. With the sky thick with fog, visibility was dangerously low, he said. And besides, Barrow Search and Rescue was short two pilots and had put him on 24-hour call. He'd get out to Cooper as soon as possible, he promised, weather permitting. But that was four days ago, and though we keep gazing up, looking for signs of our deliverance, there has been no indication of a chopper in the sky. For George, this is how it always goes. One year, he ran out of food on Cooper and radioed to Barrow, arranging for resupply, but the dispatcher went on vacation without forwarding George's message, and two weeks passed before someone happened to walk by the radio and heard his plaintive voice: ''This is Cooper Island, can you read me?'' Now, sitting outside the weatherport in the uncommon sunshine, he shrugs and says, ''Nothing to do but hope the weather stays clear and look forward to some very positive news. I'd say you're getting the full Cooper now.''
In the course of his 27-year study, George has not missed a single summer on Cooper Island, but there was a time in the mid-90's when he thought of giving it up. Back in Seattle, in what he refers to as ''the dark years,'' his marriage was coming apart, he needed to spend more time with his school-age son, Karl, and he began to doubt the value of all this work. ''Like it or not,'' he says, ''I've had a number of relationships go to hell because I always leave on June 1, saying, 'I'm going to the moon -- goodbye.' And the financial commitment is not insignificant. And so, up to 1995, there was a feeling of -- Wait a minute. What's going on here? Is this just another study with utility to only a subset of ornithologists? What have I done with my life?' '' But when, rather suddenly, his bird study began to intersect with the larger story of climate change, George recommitted to Cooper Island and his colony of guillemots in ways he'd never imagined.
Among his colleagues in Barrow, George is a local hero for the tenacity he has shown out on Cooper Island. And his graph displaying the advancement of egg-laying among his colony of guillemots has been given a special place of honor on the wall of the Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory in Barrow, next to the graphs of several multimillion-dollar government studies. But aside from completing his dissertation in 1998 and having an article accepted by the academic journal Arctic, he hasn't published his results or sought a wider audience. And when I ask him why that is, he looks down, he removes and cleans his glasses with his shirt, and when he looks up again, he speaks in a slow, deliberate voice. ''It makes me feel really bad that I haven't gotten this out earlier,'' he begins. ''And so it's hard for me to talk about. I think that whatever characteristics cause people to do long-term studies are somehow linked to their not wanting or needing to be published. But I don't want to make excuses. I'm 55. My father died when he was 54. I don't want to say that I outlived my dad and then fritter away the next 20 years. Or die and have someone say of me, 'He had a data set that could have really added to the debate.' Now,'' he goes on, ''there's almost an obligation. Especially with George Bush in office, and people saying, 'Is climate change real?' You still get these people who say, 'Do you really think it's happening?' and I'm, like, 'What is it you don't understand?!' It needs to get out, and it needs to get out soon. People say that it's happening naturally, and why should we worry? But the world may not have the stability we think it has. This,'' he says, gesturing around the island, ''is evidence that stasis isn't operating.''
George does not involve himself with the various strategies -- conservation, reducing fossil-fuel emissions, reforestation programs -- that may if not reverse then at least mitigate what the vast majority of scientists now believe to be a worldwide warming trend driven in part by human activity. As George sees it, his job is to question and observe until he fully understands the workings of his own particular planet -- this strip of sand and gravel 25 miles off the coast of North America. But to witness all the changes that have come to Cooper Island and its birds over the past 30 years is to wonder when those changes will work their way up the food chain to us, despite civilization's capacity to buffer us from the day-to-day pressures of natural selection that formed the species as we know it. To be stranded on Cooper Island is to be reminded of the larger sphere on which we are all confined, along with all the changes we may have wrought. George shakes his head and looks off. ''Aside from the nuclear threat,'' he says, ''there hasn't been much in science that has the potential to affect a larger percentage of the population's everyday life.''
And so, George is stepping up the pace. Having all but abandoned his original ornithological inquiry in favor of an all-out assault on Arctic warming, he plans to put a portable weather station on Cooper to get more precise correlations between the climate and his birds. He has talked to a scientist with a robotic airplane about flying out to Cooper to photograph the island from a bird's-eye view. He plans to begin sampling fat in chicks and adult guillemots to see if their nutrition can be related to ice conditions. And he has applied for a berth on a government icebreaker cruise next year to study the guillemots' winter habitat out on the ice.
Finally, at long last, Dave Ramey's voice comes over the radio, informing us that Quarles is on his way. And within half an hour, we can see his helicopter cruising toward us over the ice of Elson Lagoon. After two and a half weeks spent on Cooper Island time, my departure seems to occur in fast-forward. The helicopter touches down by the weatherport in a swirl of dust and gravel. With Quarles waving me in, I bid a hasty farewell to George and Tamara. And after I throw in my packs and jump on board, we lift off in the deafening roar of the rotar-chop.
As we climb into the sky, Cooper Island begins to recede and lose detail. Out on the ocean, a line of pressure ridges -- huge, colliding slabs of blue-green sea ice -- rises up like the skyline of a distant city. Above them, a thin dark line of cloud -- what the Inupiat call ''water sky'' -- reveals the invisible presence of an ice crack out on the horizon. Give or take a passing icebreaker, or a native hunter looking for seals from an ice floe, the next group of human beings is probably in Svalbard, Norway, on the other side of the globe.
By the time we reach our cruising altitude of 1,000 feet, Cooper Island is just a patch of gravel in the vastness of the frozen ocean. From up here there's a temptation to employ the tropes of a hundred nature writers, to think of Cooper -- of the Arctic in its entirety -- as some distant, untouched environment, following only the rhythms of nature that the Alaskan poet John Haines once wrote of: ''A place where the clocks are stilled and the sun still holds some of its ancient power; another kind of rhythm dominates existence: When the ice goes out, when the fish come, when the geese and ducks begin to gather.'' But already those rhythms have been disrupted. The birds come back to the island earlier and earlier each year, the ice pulls offshore and the birds starve. And if the seas do rise, even Cooper Island, at nine feet above sea level, will go under. It may take years -- it may not happen in his lifetime -- but George plans to get himself a raft, just in case.
When I look below me, I can barely find the weatherport and the three yellow domes. But then I spot George out by the north beach, knees bent, telephoto scope up to his eye. Clinging to the frozen rim of the inhabited world, with his levitating tents and his wavering radio antenna, his shotgun and his limp polar-bear fence, he looks to the skies and waits.
Darcy Frey is the author of ''The Last Shot: City Streets, Basketball Dreams.''
nytimes.com |