By saying "In all probability," the authors of the report were stating that, yes, there are "ands," yes, there are "ifs," yes there are "buts."
Again, here from the Massive investigation established by the US Secretary of War:
"Based on a detailed investigation of all the facts, and supported by the testimony of the surviving Japanese leaders involved, it is the Survey's opinion that certainly prior to 31 December 1945, and in all probability prior to 1 November 1945, Japan would have surrendered even if the atomic bombs had not been dropped, even if Russia had not entered the war, and even if no invasion had been planned or contemplated.
Both the "certainly" statement and the "in all probability" statement were conclusive statements, certain with respect to the purport of each, and yet omnisciently "certain" in neither. You just need to accept what you seem unable to understand. Otherwise, you sit through the same grade for another year. I don't think you want that.
I hope when you turn on your water tap tomorrow, nothing comes out. If anyone deserves it, you do
Ouch! Something you thought up on your own?!
And where am I to get water, pray tell? Do you think I should buy spring water? Or should I drink scotch? But I suppose you hope that that tap is turned off too. <g> |