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Biotech / Medical : IGEN International
IGEN 0.00010000.0%Mar 7 3:00 PM EST

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To: Paul Lee who wrote (749)1/10/2002 3:47:38 PM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (1) of 1025
 
The key here is that the right to cancel the license is likely worth considerably more than the $501m damages. Roche has $500m/yr in sales of products dependent on the IGEN license, and these are all in jeopardy. Diagnostics has been Roche's sole bright spot and they can't just abandon it.

This will likely force a settlement before appeal. Igen has agreed not to pull the license during the pendency of the appeal, but I don't think Roche can afford to let the cancellation threat hang out there for the year's duration of an appeal.

This is my second-biggest position, so I'm pretty delighted by this verdict. I can't pretend to have predicted this actual outcome - I was sure all along that Roche would settle before the verdict to prevent the possible loss of its license.

Peter

P.S. Here's my view of the stock about 18 months ago:

Message 13772615
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