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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries
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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (13245)1/11/2002 2:14:39 PM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
David, while production of oil might peak in 2010 or 2020, that won't be the end of growth in liquid hydrocarbon fuel for vehicles.

Sure, or hydrogen from NG and coal.

So, even if oil production drops off after 2010, there will be plenty of petrol available after that from natural gas [or coal] if the demand and price make it worthwhile. I think that fuel cells and other ideas won't compete with natural gas to synthetic petrol.

We'll see, hydrogen will be coming from fossil fuels in the near future, maybe methanol would prove better - depends on carbon emission standards down the track.

I'd bet on zeolite catalysts, natural gas and good quality synthetic petrol. Then the existing engine and fuel infrastructure can carry on.

The premise here at Princeton is sequestration is easier from big plants, so use hydrogen for mobile sources.

Single-person transport doesn't require a dirty-great SUV. A carbon tax would leave the decision to vehicle owners to decide whether they need an SUV or a Segway.

Turns out a carbon tax isn't the way to go because it doesn't encourage sequestration if you tax oil, coal, NG. You need permits for using fossil fuels and credits for sequestration or negative permits.
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