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Pastimes : Football Forum (NFL)

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To: Robert F. Newton who wrote (11263)1/11/2002 2:46:16 PM
From: Thomas M.  Read Replies (2) of 45639
 
re: win totals

In each of the last 3 seasons, 14 teams went over, 16 went under, and 1 was a push.

Interestingly, if you had bet "under" on the win totals over 8, "over" on the win totals under 8, and abstained from the ones at 8, you would have gone 14-11, 17-9, and 21-9 (a 64% success rate). So, a brain dead strategy of systematically fading the pros would have worked pretty well. Of the win totals at 8 --- 3 went over, 8 went under, and 1 was a push --- biased to the downside for some reason.

Tom
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