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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 200.98+1.4%3:59 PM EST
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To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/17/2002 3:13:48 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (2) of 275872
 
*** INTEL EPS Contest Results ***

Congratulations to Andreas Wonisch for his winning entry in the first Intel EPS contest.

The team play was a little thin with Team AMD edging out Team JC with Team SI far behind.

The results below are sorted alphabetically but I will post the top five along with winners in each category in a couple of days. The method of calculating the scores was modified to be relative to the average error of the entries (the same method as used in the contests hosted by Goutama). The early entry bonus was set to a modest 0.5 for entries received on the first day of the contest and reduced linearly to the end.

If there are any errors or questions please let me know.

-PT

INTEL EPS CONTEST

                              Total    IAG    IAG   Comm             
Entry             Team  Date    Rev    Rev Profit    Rev    EPS  Stock

andreas wonisch   AMD  01/04   6900   5800   1450    580  0.130  34.00
Androo            JC   12/19   6820   5610   1350    540  0.110  36.00
Dan3              SI   01/05   6600   5600   1500    500  0.080  30.00
Erik Corry        JC   01/14      0      0      0      0  0.050   0.00
jjayxxxx          AMD  01/13   6875   5800   1450    550  0.130  37.00
John Petzinger    AMD  01/14   6920   5720   1490    590  0.130  35.50
Martin            JC   01/13   6985   5735   1395    517  0.120  33.20
peter luc (rev)   AMD  01/05   7000   6000   1500    500  0.160  44.00
pgerassi          SI   01/11   6600   5700   1400    500  0.100  32.00
ptanner           SI   01/13   6950   5700   1400    590  0.130  36.00
Reinhard          JC   01/11                              0.140      
tgptndr (rev)     AMD  01/14   6750   5750   1000    550  0.080  34.00

Reported Value                 6983   5793   1813    590  0.146  33.71
Mean                           6844   5731   1382    545  0.113  35.79
Median                         6879   5720   1400    550  0.125  35.50
# Entries:        12  
Team AMD - Avg    5            6889   5814   1378 554.00  0.126  36.90
Team SI - Avg     3            6717   5667   1433 530.00  0.103  32.67
Team JC - Avg     4            6895   5656   1337 544.00  0.105  37.07
3Q01                           6545   5393   1328 580.00  0.100
4Q01 Guidance               6700 to 6900

DIFFERENCE FROM REPORTED VALUE
                        Days  Total    IAG    IAG   Comm             
Entry             Team Early    Rev    Rev Profit    Rev    EPS  Stock

andreas wonisch   AMD     10     83      7    363     10  0.016   0.29
Androo            JC      26    163    183    463     50  0.036   2.29
Dan3              SI       9    383    193    313     90  0.066   3.71
Erik Corry        JC     N/A    N/A    N/A    N/A    N/A  0.096    N/A
jjayxxxx          AMD      1    108      7    363     40  0.016   3.29
John Petzinger    AMD      0     63     73    323      0  0.016   1.79
Martin            JC       1      2     58    418     73  0.026   0.51
peter luc (rev)   AMD      9     17    207    313     90  0.014  10.29
pgerassi          SI       3    383     93    413     90  0.046   1.71
ptanner           SI       1     33     93    413      0  0.016   2.29
Reinhard          JC       3    104    170    547     15  0.006   8.29
tgptndr (rev)     AMD      0    233     43    813     40  0.066   0.29

Average Error                   143    102    431     45  0.035   3.16

SCORE
                              Total    IAG    IAG   Comm             
Entry             Team Bonus    Rev    Rev Profit    Rev    EPS  Stock  Score

andreas wonisch   AMD  -0.18   0.58   0.07   0.84   0.22   0.45   0.09   2.08
Androo            JC   -0.46   1.14   1.79   1.07   1.10   1.03   0.72   6.39
Dan3              SI   -0.16   2.68   1.88   0.73   1.99   1.89   1.17  10.18
Erik Corry        JC     N/A    N/A    N/A    N/A    N/A   2.75    N/A    N/A
jjayxxxx          AMD  -0.02   0.76   0.07   0.84   0.88   0.45   1.04   4.02
John Petzinger    AMD   0.00   0.44   0.71   0.75   0.00   0.45   0.57   2.92
Martin            JC   -0.02   0.01   0.57   0.97   1.61   0.74   0.16   4.05
peter luc (rev)   AMD  -0.16   0.12   2.02   0.73   1.99   0.41   3.26   8.36
pgerassi          SI   -0.05   2.68   0.91   0.96   1.99   1.32   0.54   8.34
ptanner           SI   -0.02   0.23   0.91   0.96   0.00   0.45   0.72   3.26
Reinhard          JC   -0.05   0.73   1.66   1.27   0.33   0.16   2.62   6.72
tgptndr (rev)     AMD   0.00   1.63   0.42   1.89   0.88   1.89   0.09   6.80

TEAM RESULTS
                  
Team AMD Total:    9.02
andreas wonisch    2.08
John Petzinger     2.92    
jjayxxxx           4.02    
                                        
Team JC Total:    10.44
Martin             4.05    
Androo             6.39    
Reinhard           6.72    
                                        
Team SI Total:    21.77
ptanner            3.26    
pgerassi           8.34    
Dan3              10.18
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