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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Bilow who wrote (16608)	1/17/2002 4:27:04 AM
From: SirRealist	Read Replies (1) of 281500

Iraq: how can we intelligently argue to a conclusion about what will or won't happen, unless you're running a book (what odds are you giving?)? Can't we confine it simply to whether or not we should? Your point about Turkey's interests is important and I'd forgotten that. More than most other countries in the region, I think Turkey's and Israel's interests are the most important for us to maintain outside of our own. If the Turks obtain assurance that it won't result in a greater threat from the northern Kurds, and our aim is to topple Iraq's rulers, I think that's in our interests, as well as the interests of Saudi Arabia and other oil-producers. The key is whether we can do it and whether someone friendlier will step in to replace Hussein. That's the only keys, imo.

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