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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Dealer who wrote (46613)1/17/2002 2:39:33 PM
From: Nick  Read Replies (1) of 65232
 
Siebel Systems (SEBL) 34.87 +2.68: -- Before Open -- Mixed comments out on SEBL's product upgrade cycle this morning: Salomon Smith Barney upgrades the stock to BUY from Outperform based on their positive expectations of the current upgrade cycle (see In-Play for coverage). SG Cowen believes there will be a slower than expected uptake on SEBL 7 and retains a more cautious near-term approach to shares, noting the stock has appreciated to "be one of the most expensive software stocks." Cowen conducted a survey of 10 large customers of SEBL and found that while customers expressed interest in the newly release SEBL 7, they expressed little imminent rush to upgrade. Several respondents noted concerns regarding the performance as well as the upgrade path, meaning mgmt's goal of 90% upgraded by year end is not easily achievable. Cowen remains positive on SEBL in the long-term and maintains their Buy rating.

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