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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Ilaine who wrote (13645)1/18/2002 1:30:56 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (3) of 74559
 
I am not holding myself out as a prognosticator, this is just a hunch, or maybe it's a guess, but the fallout from Enron's collapse is going to be spectacular. We ain't seen nothing yet. We have no idea who the counter-parties were on the various derivatives, but they are going to unwind like a ball of string leaving nothing in the center.

I have pointed out, numerous times, that the Fed and the BIS have been struggling to bring accountability and transparancy to the derivatives market since the 1998 LTCM debacle, so anyone who wants to point the finger at the Fed in general and Greenspan in particular is just blowing smoke.

I also predict that this is going to give California all the ammo it needs for its cases against energy companies, the ones that claim that the California natural gas shortage of a year ago was faked. Who's going to believe anything Enron says now?

The political fallout is going to taint both the Bush administration and the Clinton administration, as well as anyone who's taken major contributions from Enron, e.g., Lieberman.
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