Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis

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To: Steve Lee who wrote (28007)	1/19/2002 7:09:42 PM
From: Captain Jack	Read Replies (2) of 52237

Steve-- AG went off the deep end raising rates after a slow down had begun. Had he quit raising them prior to the last 3/4 the 'soft landing' he wanted may have prevailed. No doubt the economy was overheated and required restraint-- but not a bullet. A slow rise of rates may have given him the results he wanted and was needed. We may have seen a pullback and certainly the tech sector would have been hit hard-- the same results over time would not have had the deep reaching impact of a quick crash. When factory ute is low raising rates puts constraints on even current prod levels. The impact here was extended overseas to a greater extent and so went exports. The current rates will need to remain in range for sometime in order for cunsumers at home to remain strong long enough for overseas economies to catch up. A double edged sword as our equity and income markets are heavily reliant on investment from overseas--- should Europe or Asia (forget Japan for awhile) begin to look like a faster or stronger recovery our economy will sink farther fast if that money leaves,,

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