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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Dealer who wrote (46719)1/21/2002 1:21:41 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (5) of 65232
 
I now think Amazon will become profitable
which means its stock must come down 50% to match PE with growth

as for picking them, Enron has opened the door to phenomenal gainers in the energy sector
energy is largely considered nuclear waste now
some leaders will lead the pack: Calpine, Dynergy
those two are so golden, it aint funny
they resemble Enron NOT ONE IOTA, despite cries by NYTimes

also, biotech was thrown out with the tech bathwater
biotech has almost nothing of similarity with information processing based technology

I think the key sectors until September are:
energy, security, defense, biotech
general Old Economy will do fine
New Economy will flounder from extreme overcapacity still
the big monster sleeper in biotech is Celera (CRA)

smallcap will rule
the Fed will cut another 25 bpts on Jan 29th
it will surprise the markets

by November, a big Republican takeover of Congress will spark a huge endofyr rally in stocks
/ jim
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