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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Kapusta Kid who wrote (13739)	1/21/2002 10:03:35 PM
From: rjm2	Read Replies (1) of 78752

Market Timing/Seasonality issues... I just read an article where Jeffrey Hirsch whose company publishes the Stock Traders Almanac. He makes a helluva case for only being invested 6 months of the year ! "After crunching the numbers for years, the best 3 months of the year are November,December & January. You have solid gains in april as well. Add in Feburary & March and behold, you've got the best 6 months. The hypothetical we run is if you took $10,000 and invested in,say, the dow, from 1950 to 2000 from Nov 1 through April 30 versus May 1 though Oct 31, you gained $415,890 during the best 6 months versus a punk $1,743 in May through Oct. Thats compounded." Comments ? I wonder if some of us wouldnt do well to try and take this into consideration at least with a portion of our portfolios.

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