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Technology Stocks : Cohu, Inc. (COHU)
COHU 23.54-0.9%12:59 PM EST

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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (2618)1/22/2002 10:41:54 PM
From: robert b furman  Read Replies (2) of 7827
 
Hi Brian,

Well my vote goes for a retest of September's lows as worst case scenario.

That means high 13's to the 15's.Intel was weak today on good earnings and poor future vision.

Nvls is below all moving averages beat their earnings by a penny ,but had layoffs ealier this month - we'll see what the conference call said tomorrow as it opens.

Amat dropped below its 40/50 day moving averages and is now in a failed rally mode as well.

The generals look weak and I think we get retests to October lows in at least the communication and semi equipment sectors.

This will be a gift to rebuy them this late in the recovery and at the lows.

If this failed rally dips below 1800 on the NAZ - it may well give us one more outstanding opportunity to buy the new lows and get us a double bagger within twelve monthe from the buy zone.

I'm hoping to snag some Amat,Nvls and Intc.I'll buy some more Cohu if it sneaks down in the 13-14 range.Other than that I want to stay where there is some greater liquidity.

This set up is really beginning to remind me of Oct 98' failed rally.Could actually set new lows marginally.

Guess I'll watch for 1800 and see how Intc ,Amat lead or fail.If they fail - I'll spend my last dry powder with a vix spike and Put/Call ratio over 1.00.

Hate to say it, but we may be in for some more DEAL TIME.

Bob

Book to bill doesn't mean much until we see backlogs grow - smaller denominator and smaller numerator can yield a false rising BtoB ratio as the bottom extends and manufacturers stretch out low production maintenance mode.
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