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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries
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To: pezz who wrote (13793)1/22/2002 11:46:52 PM
From: AC Flyer  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
>>Leading econ indicators biggest rise in 6 yrs.... Whatd'yathinkofthat?<<

1. Federal funds rate stays under 2% for most of 2002.
2. No sign of inflation for the foreseeable future [thank you China (manufactured goods), Russia (oil)].
3. US productivity surge continues unabated.
4. Dot com bust now officially over (thank you Amazon), dot com survivors generating free cash flow.
5. NBER declares recession ends January, '02, mildest recession in 30 years (unless you work in telecomm, in which case you've experienced the worst recession in 70 years).
6. US economy growing at 6% by 4Q '02.
7. Amazon, eBay stock prices triple in 2002.
8. Nasdaq at 3,000, Dow at 12,000 by year-end.
9. Dot com bust, Nasdaq collapse viewed not as Crash but as "severe correction" in ongoing bull market by 12/02.
10. Gold surges all the way to $265/oz. by 12/02.
11. Alan Greenspan retires this year.
12. Osama bin Who? by year end. Never captured, body never found.
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