Rprt: Bandwidth Demand - 1/16/02
by: si1verfish
Long-Term Sentiment: Strong Buy 01/18/02 11:05 am
Msg: 3606 of 3611
(InternetWire) Continued Internet Traffic Growth Portends Upswing In
Carrier Spending, Says Internet Founder
The Internet Is Still Growing Fast Enough To Exceed The Capacity Of
Carrier Networks' Current Architectures, According To Latest Updated
Research By Dr. Lawrence Roberts
SAN JOSE, CA -- (INTERNET WIRE) -- 01/16/02 -- The Internet has
continued to grow, even in the face of economic slowdown and
terrorist attack, according to new traffic measurements released
today by Internet founder and respected network scientist Dr.
Lawrence Roberts. And the continued growth in Internet traffic has
contributed to shaping the IP carrier competitive landscape in
unexpected ways, the research found.
Latest data from the 20 leading tier 1 IP network service provider
networks in the U.S. reveals that the Internet has continued to grow
at roughly the same growth rate it's been averaging since it began
growing aggressively in the early 90s. Over the almost two-year
period of Roberts' study, April 2000 through the present, Internet
traffic has been found to be growing annually by a factor of three.
Traffic had been found to be growing even faster in the first period of
Roberts' analysis, April 2000 through April 2001. Over that one-year
period, traffic was measured to have grown at a factor of four. In
the context of the research team's longer measured time period,
however, the 4x growth was a temporary anomaly on an otherwise smooth
3x curve.
Roberts' findings run counter to some networking vendors, analysts and
media that have suggested the growth of the Internet is slowing. The
confusion stemmed from statements and speculation on the capacity of
carrier networks, not the traffic across them. Other reports have
confused growth in carrier revenue with growth in traffic, or assumed
direct relationships between the two. Roberts' work is the first
scientific measurement of traffic data since The U.S. National
Science Foundation ceased tracking American Internet traffic in 1995.
Implications And Surprise Findings
"The biggest implication of these findings is that carriers are going
to be spending again soon. There are scientific limits to how much
their networks can handle before performance degrades to levels that
customers will no longer accept."
Roberts presented his findings today in a keynote address at a CIBC
World Markets conference in San Francisco co-hosted by Stephen
Kamman, CIBC's Executive Director, Networking & Internet
Infrastructure. A summary of Roberts' findings can be downloaded from
the website of his latest venture, Caspian Networks, at
www.caspiannetworks.com.
Contact: Dallas Kachan, Caspian Networks
Phone: 408-353-9509
Email: dzk@caspiannetworks.com |
