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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Ilaine who wrote (13911)1/25/2002 8:09:13 AM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
>Energy-Trading Venture Could Result In an Enormous Loss for J.P. Morgan

By JATHON SAPSFORD and ANITA RAGHAVAN
Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

When J.P. Morgan & Co. set up an energy-trading business in the British Channel
Islands a decade ago, the tiny venture barely caused a ripple at the giant bank.

The operation, called Mahonia Ltd., consisted of just a small office with lots of phone
lines. But the Jersey-based business grew over the years to transact billions of dollars of
natural-gas contracts with other energy companies. Mahonia's trading followed a simple
pattern: Many of its transactions took place just before year-end. Often, the deliveries of
natural gas and oil were sold right back to those who delivered them through complex
derivative transactions. And about 60% of Mahonia's trades were with just one company:
Enron Corp.

The point of the choreographed trading? People familiar with Mahonia say Enron used the transactions to manage tax liabilities by transferring losses in one financial reporting period to another. [Note by CB - this is illegal. Are these people nutz?] As Enron's troubles mounted, the Houston company eventually turned to Mahonia as a sort of surrogate bank, these people say, using it to raise at least $2
billion in financing over the years.

For J.P. Morgan, the arrangement was lucrative -- at least at first. The bank received as
much as $100 million in revenues. It also thought it had insurance in place to cover any
default by Enron.

But in the wake of Enron's collapse and bankruptcy-court filing, Mahonia could cost the
nation's second-largest bank as much as $1 billion. Several insurers have alleged in a lawsuit in New York federal court that the trading transactions were shams, thereby negating the insurance contracts. [Note by CB - duh.] The bank, now known as J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., disputes the court allegation. Credit-rating concern Standard & Poor's cited J.P. Morgan's overall exposure to Enron as one reason it is reviewing the bank's credit rating for a possible downgrade. J.P. Morgan, which acted as a lender, underwriter and merger adviser to Enron, says the energy concern owes it a total of $2.6 billion.

Just a Sliver

The Mahonia arrangement -- which J.P. Morgan hadn't disclosed to investors until last
month's suit -- represents just a sliver of the many complicated ventures Enron
participated in. But unlike the hundreds of partnerships Enron constructed on its own to
keep debt off its books, this venture was conceived, launched and operated by J.P.
Morgan. Though many Wall Street firms helped finance Enron -- acting as traditional
lenders, underwriters and advisers -- the fact that J.P. Morgan set up the partnership
suggests that Wall Street may have played a more active role in the Enron scandal.

J.P. Morgan won't comment on some key aspects of the dispute, citing pending litigation. A spokesman says that "many companies routinely raise funds using pre-paid commodity forward contracts. The benefits vary from client to client, including pricing advantages and diversity of credit sources."

Enron spokesman Mark Palmer says the trades were
"perfectly legitimate and proper transactions" made as part of the normal course of
trading commodities.

Who Owns It?

Many things about the operation remain mysterious. It is unclear, for instance, who owns
Mahonia. According to records from the Jersey Financial Services Commission, the
company was incorporated on Dec. 16, 1992. It has two nominee shareholders, Lively Ltd.
and Juris Ltd., who represent undisclosed owners.

"The question is: Was Mahonia a conduit on behalf of Enron or a conduit on behalf of
J.P. Morgan?" says Manfred Knoll, a managing director for Germany's Westdeutsche
Landesbank, which issued a $165 million letter of credit to J.P. Morgan to guarantee
against losses. He says Mahonia legally was a conduit of J.P. Morgan. But in practice, "it
was a conduit that was set up to transact a variety of financial transactions for Enron."

On Tuesday, a New York bankruptcy-court judge ruled that Enron will have to make
available documents relating to Mahonia to the German bank, people familiar with the
matter say.

As part of its broad investigation into Enron, the Securities and Exchange Commission is
reviewing J.P. Morgan's multifaceted relationship with Enron, people familiar with the
matter say. Among other things, investigators are examining whether the bank, through
vehicles such as Mahonia, helped Enron draw a misleading financial picture for investors.

People close to the matter say Enron told J.P. Morgan the trades were for tax purposes.
Tax experts say it is common for companies to manage tax liabilities by, for instance,
deferring certain losses from a bad year, when the tax bill might be low, to a future period
when they can be used to offset high earnings. There's nothing inherently illegal about
trying to minimize corporate tax bills. Enron hasn't paid corporate income tax in four of the
past five years, a spokesman says.

The Mahonia maneuvers may draw additional scrutiny now, however, in light of
admissions by Enron that it used a series of outside partnerships to hide losses.

Whatever the ultimate goal, the transactions worked like this: J.P. Morgan would pay
Enron between $150 million and $250 million for the future delivery of natural gas or crude
oil. This was constructed as a "trade," not a loan. So Enron would report this as earnings
that would cancel out, temporarily, losses on Enron books.

But Enron had to eventually deliver the oil or gas, usually in regular installments with the
value of $10 million to $20 million, the people familiar with Mahonia say. With each
delivery, the losses began again to appear on Enron's ledger. These deliveries would
begin the following year, so the losses were carried from one year to the next, without
showing up clearly on Enron's books.

The result: Enron kept those losses in reserve in case Enron had any profit windfall on
which it might pay tax, the people familiar with the matter say. If it did, it would use those
losses to cancel out profits, and thus lower its tax burden. Or if Enron didn't have big
profits to hide, it would just roll the losses over again to the next fiscal year -- by going
back to J.P. Morgan and selling it another gas contract. Two tax experts contacted for this
article described the technique as unusual but potentially very effective. "It certainly
makes sense as a tax strategy," says Doug Carmichael, a professor of accounting at New
York's Baruch College.

The whole process fed on itself. As one Wall Street banker put it, the arrangements
"practically guaranteed" Enron would come back to J.P. Morgan for more.

What was in it for Morgan? The deals generated, over the decade, fees and interest
measuring as much as $100 million. In paying for future delivery of gas to Mahonia, J.P.
Morgan got the gas at a discount -- reflecting the interest rate Enron would have paid
were it getting a straightforward loan. In the summer of 1999, this amounted to somewhere
between 7% and 8%, or roughly $7 million to $8 million for every $100 million J.P. Morgan
channeled to Enron under the Mahonia arrangement. (That revenue, of course, was offset
in part by the bank's funding costs.) The bank often got a small fee for arranging the
financing.

Source of Pride

The arrangements were for years a source of pride within the bank's small commodities
division, which directed the trades. Dinsa Mehta, one of J.P. Morgan's senior commodity
traders, praised the deals to colleagues, saying that while Enron put out its other
commodity financing needs for all of Wall Street to bid on, Enron kept coming back to J.P.
Morgan for trades that would carry its losses forward. Mr. Mehta, contacted through a
spokeswoman, declined to comment.

In a basic way, the trading pact is a throwback. Prepaying for future delivery of a
commodity is known as a "gold trade," because it is the way gold bullion has been
trading for centuries. In recent years, trading companies, whether from Houston or Wall
Street, have been making more use of this structure to buy and sell oil, natural gas and
other commodities. Some commercial banks, including Chase Manhattan, a predecessor of
J.P. Morgan, had to set up part of these trades overseas because their banking charters
wouldn't allow them to take delivery of commodities.

J.P. Morgan also bought commodities contracts from a number of other energy
companies. Yet by far Mahonia's biggest customer was Enron, accounting for roughly
60% of its business, people familiar with the matter say.

Over the years, the size of the transactions grew and the repayment periods stretched out
further and further into the future.

Mahonia's business with Enron jumped sharply in 1999. Oil prices were weak, causing
concerns over the future profitability of the energy industry. The stock and bond capital
markets had become reluctant to finance energy companies, leaving J.P. Morgan's
offshore arrangements one of the few places this industry could raise money.

In the summer of 1999, Enron officials contacted Morgan with requests to do bigger and
bigger trades, including a large arrangement of $650 million in one trade. It was a far cry
from earlier trades in the range of $150 million, and suggested to some people within the
bank that Enron was no longer merely interested in tax avoidance, but was actively using
the arrangement to meet its financing needs.

J.P. Morgan officials couldn't do the business without hedges. The firm would be on the
hook for a large chunk of cash if Enron defaulted before it delivered the natural gas.
These arrangements, after all, presented the same default risk as any loan to Enron. J.P.
Morgan effectively had been paying a portion of its earnings to other banks in exchange
for their guaranteeing portions of the arrangement. This move shifted some of the risk to
other banks like ABN Amro Holding NV or West LB.

It wasn't enough. By this time, companies including Enron wanted to raise more through
Mahonia than the banking syndicate was willing to handle amid the oil-price slump. So
Enron, if it wanted more money, needed to find new players to share the risk of financing
the gas payments.

Enron turned to 11 insurance companies -- including National Fire Insurance Co., Safeco
Insurance Co., St. Paul Fire & Marine Insurance Co. and Citigroup Inc.'s Travelers unit --
to issue "surety bonds." These are financial guarantees insurance companies commonly
issue to ensure a project is completed, whether it's a bridge or Hollywood movie. Enron
arranged these contracts for J.P. Morgan -- and paid the insurance companies for it -- so
that the bank would feel more comfortable making increasingly large trades with the
energy company, according to a person familiar with the arrangement.

As Enron's trades grew bigger and bigger, the bank was also financing other energy
companies, and the accounting on these trades became a source of concern within the
bank. On Aug. 5, 1999, Vice Chairman Marc Shapiro and senior credit officer David Pflug
convened a meeting in a glass room off the bank's commodity trading floor.

As part of that briefing, the group went through a lengthy history of the bank's trading
with energy companies. The managers were told one reason companies like Enron were
entering the complex trades was to carry forward losses and lower tax burdens, a person
familiar with the briefing said. This person said Mr. Shapiro reviewed the trades and said
they were fine. Mr. Shapiro declines to comment. Mr. Pflug, confirming the meeting, said it
was called to discuss another client and commodity derivative contracts in general.

Two years later, the arrangement was still functioning as Enron's troubles deepened. Both
Enron and J.P. Morgan kept looking for other institutions to share the risk as Enron kept
running new trades through Mahonia.

That's when Enron and Morgan turned to the German bank for more comfort. On Sept. 10,
2001, Enron and Morgan arranged to obtain a $165 million letter of credit from West LB to
guarantee derivatives trades between Mahonia and Enron North America, according to
Mr. Knoll, the bank managing director.

In an unusual move underscoring Morgan's keen interest in the letter of credit, the legal
documents were reviewed by Philip Levy, Morgan's associate general counsel. Mr. Levy
didn't return a call seeking comment.

Deepening Woes

Enron's woes deepened further. After a planned merger with rival Dynegy Inc. fell
through, Enron filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Dec. 2. After the filing,
Morgan requested to be paid under the letter of credit, Mr. Knoll says. So far, West LB
has refused to pay, depositing the $165 million in an escrow account which it says it will
make available when the Mahonia transactions underlying the lending facility are proved
proper.

It was only after the bankruptcy filing that investors first got a whiff of Mahonia.
Morgan's insurers, due to make a payment on the surety bonds by a Dec. 21 deadline,
refused to pay. Morgan sued in New York federal court. The insurers filed a counterclaim,
alleging that Mahonia was a fabrication meant to disguise loans in the forms of
commodity trades.

In court papers, the insurers say they were led to believe the arrangements were meant to
"actually supply natural gas and crude oil by Enron to Mahonia." But the insurers refuse
to pay the guarantees because the arrangements "were not intended to be fulfilled," the
insurers' complaint alleges. It adds that Mahonia was a "mechanism to obtain surety
bonds to secure loans to be made to Enron in the guise" of trades.

J.P. Morgan says the insurers' claims are without merit, noting that the surety contracts
say the insurance liability is "absolute and unconditional."

The case is pending. But the spat already has dented Morgan's credibility. Morgan Chief
Executive Officer William Harrison called his board shortly after the Enron bankruptcy
filing and told them the bank had some $500 million in unsecured exposure and some
other secured exposures, including loans of $400 million backed by pipeline assets.

But after the insurers refused to honor their commitments on the surety bonds, Mr.
Harrison had to hit the phones again to directors, and raise the number to $2.6 billion --
with roughly $1 billion of the additional exposure directly related to Mahonia.

Morgan has been defending its position ever since. Last week, the bank reported a
fourth-quarter loss of $332 million, partly because of its exposure to Enron.

Meanwhile, Mr. Shapiro, the vice chairman, asserts that Morgan has known all along the
extent of its Enron vulnerability. "It's not an issue of what we knew," he said late last
month "but what was appropriate to disclose."<<

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