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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 78.16+0.2%Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: MIKE REDDERT who wrote (56879)1/25/2002 8:19:22 AM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) of 77400
 
Hi all, I don't know if you folks ever go to this sight, but I've found the WLI tracking metric to be the most reliable guide to predicting short term fluctuations in the economy. Right now it is saying that the economy will start expanding again in the next couple of months. Recovery is imminent. However, it is also saying that the recovery will be mild as the recession has been mild. Check it out: businesscycle.com . Look for the WLI metric. You can even download the data points for each week. It's updated every Friday. Hope you find this useful. If I'd been using this in 2000, maybe I'd have avoided some of my losses. I think it was signaling to get out by May or June of 2000, still very early enough to have avoided some serious losses.

Here's an article on the WLI, which explains what it is predicting: businesscycle.com
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