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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
QCOM 180.88+2.0%Oct 31 3:59 PM EST

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To: Craig Schilling who started this subject1/25/2002 12:06:04 PM
From: HairBall  Read Replies (6) of 152472
 
A technical view...

I believe QCOM put in a significant bottom back in Oct01. The long-term falling wedge traced out by the pricing action since the Jan00 all time high, suggest a break to the norm and that would be up. If this pattern plays out per the norm, the low seen Oct01 will have likely been a significant low for QCOM. The current retrace of the rally following the Oct01 low has exceeded comfortable levels, however the dual bottoming action yesterday and today may represent the test of the Oct01 low, we shall see. A closer test could still materialize and I will not rule out one more test of the support line of the long-term falling wedge (which would set a lower low), but per my technicals I believe that unlikely. If the chart pattern provides a break to the norm (and I think it will), I would expect first major resistance to come in the area of the 23.6% Fib retrace level (76.46) of the Jan00 decline into Oct01. Of course there is initial resistance to overcome to get to this first Fib retrace level...rally peaks in Aug01 (68.57) and Dec01 (62.49) and the price action must first break once again above the falling resistance line of the long-term Jan01 falling wedge.

As always, time will tell...price action points, price patterns and trend lines to keep an eye on...

To view both my longer-term chart and “intraday” chart follow this link lgscharts.homestead.com and click on CHARTS 1 and 2.

Regards,
LG

Disclaimer: The above is my opinion only and I reserve the right to be wrong. Do not base any investment decision solely on any one person's views or analysis, especially an anonymous message board poster such as myself. Do your own research and take responsibility for your own investment decisions.
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