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Non-Tech : Rite-AID (RAD) Overdone or Done In?
RAD 0.6480.0%Oct 16 4:00 PM EDT

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To: Marty Rubin who wrote (660)1/27/2002 6:03:26 PM
From: KJ. Moy  Read Replies (1) of 700
 
<if you have a system (i.e., Bloomberg, Telerate...) that tells you where the blocks were coming from and its description (buys vs. short covering), please post them here.>>

Sorry, I don't have any system which can report trades in such detail.

<<The EBITDA was based on SSS growth, something that's discounted by the market due to credibility issues. >>

I agree with you. Their credibility suffer for the time being. However, when they report their fiscal third quarter on 1/10/02, their fiscal 4th quarter was almost half done at that time. If they can deliver 8% sss or better for Jan/02(4 wk ending 1/26) and Feb/02(5 wk ending 3/2) and gross margin of 3.5% or better, 141m EBITDA is in the bag IMHO.

There's one less week for the current fiscal 4th quarter by my calculation. Gross margin was much lower than norm last quarter, I wonder if it was due to heavy price war with CVS and advertising on TV. The truce with CVS should help the bottom line in the long run.

For the short term, civil suit settlement and SSS will dictate the movement of stock price IMO.
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