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Pastimes : Predictions - Does Anybody Get It Right?

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (72)1/28/2002 11:52:12 AM
From: Steve Lee  Read Replies (2) of 117
 
Apologies if I was giving the impression of comparing you to some of the more rabid SI-ers. That wasn't the case. Your analysis on this thread could prove useful. I just feel the focus of the thread is in danger of finding petty mistakes of people who have good systems. If their systems are tuned to make them money in a particular way, and they work, then there is no mileage in pointing out that other objectives that don't relate to the model are not being met. Now I wonder if LG can run that last sentence through the grammar checker for me <g>.

Changing predictions is fine because the market allows you to buy and sell at any time (usually). If you buy something for $10 and expect it to go to $20 by a particular date than that doesn't mean you can't sell when it hits $15 if you think expectations need adjusting. But it is still right to have that initial $20 target because it gives you something to measure against. If you don't have anything to measure against, you can't tell when things change.
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