Analytics Forecasts 469 Million Cellular Handset
Sales in 2002
date: January 29, 2002
By 2006, 77% of all handset sold will be replacements, up from 52% in
2001. Despite GSM's overall dominance of the cellular market, CDMA will
control a disproportionate share of the 3G markets. The CDMA share of
global handset volume will reach 25% by 2006.
Phil Kendall, a Director in the Global Wireless Practice at Strategy
Analytics, notes, "Retail sales will have increased to 870 million phones by
2006, at which point Southeast Asia will account for 40% of the total, more
than double the size of any other region. Western Europe and North
America will see their share of handset sales fall significantly over the next
five years from over 50% in 2001 to 36% in 2006."
David Kerr, Vice President of the Strategy Analytics Global Wireless
Practice, adds, "Inventory buildup was a huge issue for the global market
in 2000 and 2001, with some residual still left to work through in the first
half of 2002, especially in Western Europe. Having fallen 13% in 2001,
Western European handset sales will remain flat in 2002, before beginning
to recover in 2003." He continues, "GSM/W-CDMA based systems will
continue to dominate the worldwide cellular market over the next five
years. However, CDMAOne/CDMA2000 sales will gain share, passing 200
million units in 2006."
These findings are presented in "Worldwide Cellular Handset Forecast
(2001-2006)," a study published recently by Strategy Analytics, Inc., within
its strategic advisory service, Wireless Device Strategies. |
