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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics
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To: Rich1 who wrote (26414)2/3/2002 9:18:50 AM
From: exp  Read Replies (1) of 99280
 
Rich: SEBL $35.7, fair value: $41(PEG=2) $31(PEG=1.5) see:
SEBL future eps estimates are as follows (using the StockSelector site): 02 $.53, 03 .68, 04 .99, 05 1.43. Compound rate of eps growth from 02 ($.53) to 05 ($1.43) is 39% (focusing here on the "post-recession" rate of growth). With PEG=2 stock price=2 x 39 x .53 = $41, with PEG=1.5 stock price=1.5 x 39 x .53 = $31. So, it appears that SEBL is approximately fairly valued (assuming that projected eps are valid and not "too" pro-forma) as it has PEG= 35.7/(39 x.53)= 1.73. On the other hand, SEBL forward 02 P/E=35.7/.53=67 is definitely on the high side.
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