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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: TimF who wrote (142292)2/3/2002 10:01:23 PM
From: Bill Jackson  Read Replies (2) of 1578235
 
Tim, The trouble with small moves of .3% in any measure is the size of the base used in measurement. There is noy way to see if that is just noise. What is needed is the a trend line to see if that figure hops up and down by .5% every year or so as well as trend lines to see if it goes up or down.

There is no doubt that the smaller number of guns in the UK mean that the non gang criminal has a hard time getting one.
That means impulse crimes will involve a gun on fewer occasions. A planned crime where there is enough lead time to root through the underworld for a gun would would have a higher incidence of gun use.
For example, there have been a number of high tech crimes where memory, CPUs, hard drives etc have been stolen by oriental gangs with guns. A few of these could account for the uptick of .3%.
However as memoery fell and the dotcom crash bit, then these robberies decreased. Another factor in this was more wire wickets to separate people from the good. There were several incidents where gang people threatened other customers to get the parts they wanted. There were also incidents where the people inside refused entry, even when the robbers threatened the other clients.
Luckily the robbers left before killing anyone, so we will never know what may have gone down.
As usual nothing operates in isolation. As there get to be more guns and crimes with them, then better cages and other defences(silent alarms) come along and redress the balance.

One thing I am sure of, the impulse gun crime at home is very rare in the UK for the simple matter that there are so few guns in private hands. The hot impulse gun crime usually goes away when the only alternative is to use a knife. A lot harder to approach a person with a knife and kill them, esp if they can flee/fight/etc.
A gun kills from distance.

If you armed the police you would get them killing their wives on impulse as well as thefts from police of their guns.

Bill
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