Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (14515)	2/5/2002 11:27:49 AM
From: AC Flyer	Read Replies (1) of 74559

>>The fishery has been closed for a while...<< How long? >>...and the cod are not coming back<< Give it time. These kinds of population recoveries are exponential functions. It takes a long time at first for small increases in population and then as that e to the x starts to kick in, all of a sudden population increases quickly. You will wake up one of these years to the report that cod on the Grand Banks are jumping into the fishing boats. >>What never came back was the King crab fishery in South East Alaska<< Ditto. The population recovery curve is a function of reproduction rate, reproduction frequency and the incidence of predation. A species that was dominant in the past will be dominant again. But perhaps not on a timetable that suits us.

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