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Gold/Mining/Energy : Nuvo Research Inc

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To: Cal Gary who wrote (8650)2/7/2002 2:15:55 PM
From: Montana Wildhack  Read Replies (1) of 14101
 
Everyone everywhere,

My lack of interest in the X-files program (paranoids unite)
was clarified when I listened to the theories of a distant
relative expounding how the Apollo program was a huge hoax.

Evidence was the moving flag on video and the understanding
that anyone who didn't realize that big government was a
machine churning out this sort of thing was naive.

I happen to be space nuts and an amateur astronomer. I still
watch every clip and program on those moon walks and can
say with certainty that no flag ever fluttered.

What he saw was a decision by NASA not to have a drooped
flag given no atmosphere (read wind) and therefore set up
to appear to be in some wind- which of course doesn't exist.

What I have done is developed a contra-indicator which
worked perfectly on this last run. It's based on SH mood
psychology whose basic axiom is that stock price swings
are not normal and are either conspiracies/incompetancies
or are the early signs of massive gains. There are some
excellent people there - but I was able to predict this
time when the tone would turn sour ahead of time.

I couldn't be less interested. I sold the short term in
the 5's on an obvious overextension and am waiting for
signs that this wave is turning. Which it will. From
which it will turn again. And so on.

Back then the charts and FDA news said we would go up.
After a nice move the charts said we were out of gas. The
second the next draw was there anyone who didn't know
the stock would go in a downwave (Streetsmart was handing
out numbers for god's sake) simply has more work to do or
has no short term concerns.

How can I say that there isn't some awful thing there when
we got the FDA inspection and there wasn't any big buying??

Because there never has been. The market has adjusted. The
stock is not in the 3's where it belongs with no revenue.
It will adjust again when there is something more solid. In
the meantime more interest WAS reflected on the news.

The FDA news was soon followed by OXO questions and low
sales results. Then there was no joy mudville after
returning from Europe. Then January passed.

Its all there folks.

The 4th consecutive draw stopped at $5. Why? Read my post
on cash. Doesn't need it bad enough and so can afford to
want more value for DMX from the shares right now.

Why would that big private sale happen? Can you say 'tax
planning'. One has only to look at Barbados to know that
the advantages/disadvantages were already clearly known.
I don't know what was done. It was private and her
business. I do know I got a big milestone on the
single overwhelmingly most important path.

Why then? It was time. I will bring this up again some
6 months from now and I'll be suprised if the $3.50 wasn't
the right time. Don't forget any CEO always has what might
be called insider information and it cannot be otherwise.
They have the same right to plan their private lives as you
and I do. The information belonging to the public is there
publicly.

Did the US learn from the hardon that terrorists had already
displayed about the WTC? Did Martin know he was done after
the previous tangles with Jean? Did the politicians know
the surplus was temporary? Is anyone taking global warming
seriously? Did the warlords understand that their lives
had changed and wait? Will the Enron blowup change anything?

No. No. No. No. No. And no.

The FDA inspection created some temporary excitement and
a short term opportunity (keyword=temporary, why? did
anyone think it would just keep going?). The draw and time,
and then WF10 question and sales pulled the price back.
Like clockwork the weeping and gnashing of teeth started.
Creating another opportunity.

The key unless you're long term might be to get in sync
with the actual, real world waves rather than let the id
run decisions.

If you're long term. The core strategy was to get the
EU, Canada, and the US for Pennsaid with a side play in
OXO while retaining control.

Got the EU. Not great. Should get Canada. Still waiting
but ready. US looking good. Small partners EU, us in
Canada, big name in the US. Buying OXO as long as its good
for DMX. Cash OK. Dilution OK. No rewards yet; but
big prize around the corner (in beaurocratic timeframes).

I'm not up 50% in this stock after 4 years. That's because
its still in "not yet" mode. I'm still here because I
believe the stock's all time high is also "not yet". I
am adding (will add) to the long term because I'm betting
on a new range this year and another in 2-3 years. I
seriously re-evaluated last November (as I posted) and got
the FDA inspection. It was apparent Europe wasn't going
to be much by then and it put the whole brunt on the FDA
-the toughest of the bunch. The inspection said keep
holding and I have reason to believe we did well. Which
moves to 'approvable' and J&J.

Through a long series of waves of price changes.

Sincerely, anyone who doesn't believe this shouldn't be
owning these shares unless you're a pure WF10 advocate.

Good luck everyone wherever you are,

Wolf
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