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Strategies & Market Trends : Complacency Indexes

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To: Sherman Chen who wrote (483)2/8/2002 4:29:02 PM
From: TechTrader42  Read Replies (1) of 1487
 
The danger is that the LT CI's are still very overbought. That's something that raises a big caution flag. There are other factors that could bring this market down at any time. At any rate, the market is always unpredictable.

As for the CI's, I remind anyone reading this thread that they look back, not forward, and at no time would I suggest trading based on them. You might as well traded based on the toss of a coin. The CI's in no way predict future prices. Guesses shouldn't even be made based on them.

I'd also urge anyone trading to use stops and protect capital. And most important: Develop your own systems and rely on them. People without much experience in trading or TA shouldn't even trade. People making haphazard guesses on the direction of the market will lose money. People put far too much faith in TA indicators. For most traders, they turn into a tool for addictive gambling.
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