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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: Terry Whitman who wrote (150696)2/11/2002 7:37:09 PM
From: sun-tzu  Read Replies (2) of 436258
 
terry,

i pride myself on maintaining objectivity. i'm sorry, but i just do not see the market performance as fully pricing in a recovery. imo, you are extrapolating way too far into the future.

the market correctly anticipated the current economic upswing. i'll leave the debate over the accuracy of this inventory replentishment in being truly representative of a real recovery for another post.

suffice it to say, the indices recent action has done nothing to convince me that anything but more pain is coming. all three major indices are now in IT and LT downtrends. ST is up for debate. that being said, i'm currently long but hear me clearly, i view this as nothing more than one of the best developing shorting opportunities ever.

and to all on SI, as well as terry, please view these rather eloquent and enlightening charts courtesy of Gottfried and Didi:

suite101.com
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