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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: J.T. who wrote (10347)	2/13/2002 3:01:34 PM
From: Dexter Lives On	Read Replies (2) of 19219

Don't let 'em get to you J.T., you've been patient, disciplined and very methodical; that's usually a good way to make money over the long term. I've just been studying VIX since 1990 vs. S&P 500 (yeah, I know, VIX is based on S&P 100) and noticed that the ranges for it break into 3 neat periods; 1990-91, then 1992-1996 then 1997-present. The respective ranges, ignoring spikes that were usually event (or market-collapse related<g>), are 18-28, 12-18 and 22-32. The stock index was doing the following in each period, bottoming, grinding up and going parabolic, respectively. What does this tell us? Perhaps that the next 6-12 months will be spent transitioning from the 90-91 environment to the 92-96 environment, both in terms of volatility and types of returns available. Sorry I can't post the chart to illustrate better but I recommend constructing it for anyone interested. You can get VIX and Index data from the Yahoo finance site under historical data download. Cheers. Rob PS Thanks for populating this thread with valuable data every night - your comments are entertaining as well! <vbg>

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