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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
QCOM 159.42-1.2%Jan 16 9:30 AM EST

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To: kech who wrote (113273)2/14/2002 11:43:13 AM
From: Stock Farmer  Read Replies (1) of 152472
 
Tom - there is a technique called "Economic Value Added" estimation, which includes R&D and Marketing (but not SG&A) as an investment, and calculates the future value as a rate of return.

However, R&D focused on consumption of twinkies and cheese doodles is less valuable than R&D focused on the task at hand. And there's always a mix of both the former and the latter in any enterprise. So it's not like one can merely add up the cost of R&D and assume that's what its worth.

Typically, as a discretionary expense, we can expect R&D to generate returns that just exceed the marginal cost of capital. Which opens the whole thing up to agency effects in a company where the cost of capital is very low. Such as many of the tech stocks during the boom years.

As you can see, Qualcomm attracted billions in shareholder capital just by printing shares. This is an exceptionally low cost of capital. So until recently, R&D (lumped in with the other "strategic investments") have not been very productive. A massive agency problem.

However, as shareholders become more informed (curiously, Enron is doing everyone a comparatively low-cost favor), management will be tasked to husband capital more effectively. IMHO this is not exactly a core competency.

Yet.

I would like to see some track record here before citing them as "exemplary". But that's just my preference.
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