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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (15032)2/14/2002 3:34:35 PM
From: AC Flyer  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
Ray:

You need to read a little more carefully. This data refers to FIRST-TIME UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS and says nothing about the total number of unemployed. This data is a leading indicator of employment trends in the broad economy.

>>The Labor Department said the number of Americans applying for first-time jobless benefits fell by 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 373,000 in the week ended Feb. 9 from a revised 381,000 the prior week. That was below the 378,000 claims economists in a Reuters poll had forecast.<<

The points that you make are either not verifiable (e.g. discouraged and contract workers) or lagging indicators (tax receipts) of employment trends.

>>A proper conclusion is that the official "unemployment" figures....are simply fictions.<<

Hyperbole.
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