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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (2013)7/4/1997 6:01:00 PM
From: HH   of 94695
 
Ground ZEro
Ground Zero: I think youre observations and experience in
the bond market are a real insight. I agree long bond would
be the best and most rewarding to be. Its insightful to view
the flight to safety prior to or simultaneous to a market
correction.( correction may indeed be an understatement)
The thing that has got me concerned with long bond is the
Japanese statement recently. Their implied action restricts
any signficant drop in rates. The dollar will surely come under
pressure as the Japanese economy perks up.I still take the
Japanese PM at his word. That was not loose talk.
It is also possible that the economy not as weak as i think
and the the full employment scenario will start popping with
inflation. The economy seems to be walking a fine line. On the
one hand we could be spiraling into deflation (my belief)and on the
other , full employment could work like the text books say.
Either way is not pretty for stocks.
My problem is that I am so instinctively against these high
p/e that when a readjustment occurs it will take all equities
with it. Valuations have a life of their own and if , for example
COKE looses half of its valuation, suddenly other stocks by comparison
dont look as attractive
HH
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