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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 227.56-2.6%9:37 AM EST

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To: advocatedevil who wrote (60645)2/15/2002 6:27:53 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (3) of 70976
 
AD: applause, and some questions:

I just listed all your trades today, with the time and the prices. I did this, because I'm always interested in learning something new, and because I'd always believed that you can't make money day-trading. It's like, if someone flips a coin, and calls it right, I'm not impressed. 4 times in a row calling it right, I start to pay attention. 13 times in a row correct.......I'm impressed, and begin to question my assumptions.

1. It looks to me, like most of your trades happened at the moment just after a change in direction on the stock chart. If it was going up, you waited until it had started to go down, and shorted (or sold a long position). Is that right?

2. Until noon, you had mostly short plays. After that, all long. What made you change your mind then? I ask, because the market was down, and I'd have expected AMAT to follow any strong clear market direction.

3. Your commissions are a trivial part of your cost, but only because your trading 3000 shares at a time.

4. Your holding period seemed to be about 10 minutes, for most trades. Is that a habit, or just today?

5. You seem relaxed enough to constantly judge yourself, and quickly change your mind when something tells you you're wrong. That is, you expect to be wrong a not-small fraction of the time.

6. when did you have lunch? (or was it catered?)
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