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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: AC Flyer who wrote (15059)2/16/2002 1:30:18 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
To copycat you, I'm not irrationally pessimistic, just weighing the probabilities. To be honest, I dread the down side, but this is no excuse to ignore some troubling facts.

btw - full disclosure (g) - Im no trader either, in the frequency spectrum from a second to infinity, you could look me up somewhere at 4 weeks to 6 months (history says). Of course, I had my fair share of losers, but I try my best not to wait for 4 weeks to get rid of them - that would be (yeah, that's the word!) irrational -.

I did once a distribution of ROIs for my closed transactions and it did look the way some say it should - fatter than normal, more like a Students distribution and nicely assymetric with some 10baggers at the top.

dj
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