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Strategies & Market Trends : Investor sentiment surveys - a technical indicator

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To: Q. who wrote ()	7/5/1997 3:49:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins	of 167

John ; a little early and still more work to do but the short interest is making sence. -------------------- Short 10th Shrt lst mo Change %chng Avg dly vol %avgD.V Date 1366369946 1342457065 23912881 1.78% 608862769 224.41% 9612 1320348005 1349703763 -29355758 -2.17% 586993421 224.93% 9701 ----------------------- 1359336116 1310747366 48588750 3.71% 678815669 200.25% 9702 note mounth after shorts covered and & % short vs Avg dly vol hits low markert goes down but I get Feb 10th info on 27th JAN -2.17 useable ? ---------------------------------------------------- 1443088799 1354531372 88557427 6.54% 627542848 229.96% 9703 ------------------------------------------ 1533534144 1440929227 92604917 6.43% 594888619 257.79% 9704 Note increase in shorts and SHRTS TO Dly vol is way up market goes up ---------------------------------------- 1580254528 1526715544 53538984 3.51% 630886395 250.48% 9705 1609183338 1571408391 37774947 2.40% 612411005 262.76% 9706 Slight increases in short positions continues to up the overall bearish positions with shorts to daily vol at all time high , forces market on up. Only a substanual reduction in short positions will let market fall, she climbs the Wall of thoes doubters..with the pros picking them off. My Short term Out look still slghtly Bullish, as I see the Bears gaining enough to undo the recent strong bullish sentiment. ---------------------------------- I also noted that the SI survey fell from it's bullish stand, my guess is the market is so high that more and more people can't belive it will hold let alone go up..the bullish sentiment fell last week, if the SI bull/bear ratio goes up to 4 then I will consider going short. Right now I'm mostly on the side lines.

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