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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

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Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: Robert Scott who wrote (82647)	2/20/2002 8:23:54 AM
From: Tom Pulley	Read Replies (1) of 99985

Robert, re: <Our model is a long cycle model - is yours a short cycle one?> Tough question as I've found that people have different definitions of a long cycle or short cycle (g). My model tends to go from 100% long to 100% cash 4-6 times annually so I'd call that a short cycle model. Actually the internals of the model are made of two parts; first is a longer cycle model that has fundamental and economic indicators. Second is a technical model that swings back and forth much more often and reacts differently depending on whether the long term model is bullish or bearish. The fundamental/economic portion of the model is currently quite bullish. The technical short term portion of the model has been bearish for over a month, but is now becoming oversold and starting to look better. I'd be interested in how your model works and what it is telling you. Tom

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