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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: t2 who wrote (31505)2/20/2002 8:41:08 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) of 99280
 
<Just wonder if the Nasdaq can go into a steep decline and the old economy still make gains.. yes IF (and that is a huge if): if public can be driven away from The Casino and start developing a new attitude. But i still sense an addiction to techs that can't be cured without great pain. That is regrettable but probably sadly true.
I see even Leuthold, a traditionally conservative investor announced he has gone to techs as his heaviest weighting,something like 35%.
SPX500 trailing P/E chart 1991 to now can be found in fortune magazine 2/18,page 130. This chart however is not on it's website. Trailing P/E from about mid 94 to mid 96 was in a range of 16 to 18-1. We have not been below 25-1 since late 1998 (except for a moment in early 2001),and we are now at about 33-1. Based on earnings estimates for 2002(which up until this moment are weighted for a strong recovery this year),the forward earnings be 23-1(and that will, i feel prove to be wrong).max
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