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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: TREND1 who wrote (31870)2/21/2002 4:19:46 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (3) of 99280
 
Larry, your finally back on that again <G>. I was waiting for that post.

Larry, you should check my 20-day SMA / EMA crossing over the 50-Day SMA/EMA from above. The last 2-years it has an 80% record of predicting new bear lows withing 1-3 months. Last cross was the last week in January. We have a 6-week window for lower lows. The other 20% of the time we do a 50% re-trace, which we did already. This is for the COMP and NDX only.

You may want to back-test this to see if it is applicable on a wider scale, as it seems to give us lots of time to get out of dodge. Maybe Hal would be interested in testing it if he'd find time to get off that easy chair of his <G>.
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