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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (31908)2/21/2002 6:29:00 PM
From: Jdaasoc  Read Replies (1) of 99280
 
Memory prices are flying upwards.

In one weeks time, 512 MB SDRAM went from $ $85 to $135. I bought a lot of 256 MB RDRAM at $79 ea this week since 256 MB of DDR is about $89 and climbing.

It will not be too long that analysts declare MU a frinckin buy when it is below $30.

To give you an idea how memory can shot up so quickly, all 5 companies that produce DRAM shut down entire capacity for two weeks for Chinese New Year. The glut of memory that existed 1 month ago is now a real shortage with computer companies buying 2-3 months worth of supply as prices skyrocket.

Market will declare tech recovery occuring in next 3 months when the following things happen.

- PC keep breaking due to age and surplus corporate inventory is exhusted
- MSFT obsoletes Win 98 and Win NT. You have to remember that they orginal date was Oct 2001, but 9/11 messed that up real bad. New data is May 2002. I think they will make this date hold without wavering.

- When DVD recordable media gets to $0.30 ea and it's cheaper to burn DVDs on P4 computers then to rent them.

I think by Jun we will get furious summertime tech rally. But before then they will scare the daylights out of anyone long.
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