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Strategies & Market Trends : Dave Gore's Trades That Make Sense

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To: acuransx_2000 who wrote (3063)2/25/2002 5:22:49 PM
From: Dave Gore  Read Replies (1) of 16631
 
FLEX C.C. UPDATE - CEO is being very conservative and says that current quarter will be at lower end of current eps expectations (i.e. 13 cents eps), but that future quarters will be above by 2 cents eps each and margins will improve.
There will be a one time charge of 2-3 cents eps or so for severance pay. In other news, their China factory coming on line and XBOX has been a strong success. Telecom business okay, but not helping the upside as much as hoped. When it does pick up their EPS will pick up markedly.

Current eps expecations by Zacks are .64eps and .87eps in FY 2002 and 2003.
kevxml2a.infospace.com

He also said that they are solidly profitable and is NOT factoring in a telecom recovery in 2002. If it comes, they will be significantly more profitable than they are now anticipating. The new cell phones with color screen, always on internet, and 3g business when it comes will be very profitable for them.

Bottom line --- stock is way down from 27 in Jan. 2002 and PE is historically low now, but stock still might get punished a bit tomorrow. If so, I would view it as a tremendous buying opportunity on an intermediate or long term hold. This is a great stock to own in mid-late 2002.
I think it could reach $30 a share in 2003 and may buy LEAPS if this gets any cheaper for extreme leverage.

It will be very interesting to see how analysts view their call tomorrow. I would guess they may give FLEX a NT hold, LT buy.
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