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Technology Stocks : ADTRAN !?!
ADTN 9.555-3.5%Jan 23 3:59 PM EST

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To: R. D. J. who wrote (407)7/6/1997 7:53:00 PM
From: Michael H. Dragon   of 766
 
R.D.J.,The important thing to remember when considering an investment in Adtran in my opinion is when and if an ANSI standard gets adopted.
Pairgain Technology got a whopping 70% market share in the HDSL arena
alot of that due to their early entrance and the fact that it remains a proprietary technology, which basically means that a customer has to buy equipment from the same vendor that the carrier he uses bought from.Adtran's equipment won't work with Pairgain's..etc.Adtran appears to have the edge in my opinion for HDSL2 Technology which undoubtebly will replace HDSL as the xDSL technology of choice.However,last week Pairgain, ADC Telecom, and Level One jointly submitted an HDSL2 standard proposalto ANSI when and if adopted I beleive will be a negative for Adtran in the long run.This whole xDSL arena is becoming tougher and tougher to get a read on in which direction to take when making an investment in it.If standards are adopted price wars that we see now will appear trivial to what they may become.Somewhere down the line I'm sure we'll see some consolidation with the larger players buying out the smaller ones. Good Luck in your decision, Mike
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