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Technology Stocks : Leap Wireless International (LWIN)

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To: J.B.C. who started this subject2/27/2002 3:52:01 PM
From: arun gera  Read Replies (5) of 2737
 
Detailed Conference Notes from Sue's Presentation at RS

- LWIN initially thought consumers will like affordability of cricket. It seems they prefer the predictability more. Willing to pay $40-50 if there is predictability.

- LWIN has a good cost model.
- 6 percent penetration in one year.
- Pay in Advance system, and not Prepaid.
- Lowest CCU in business
- Churn - Not so high given the early stage of most markets. Other wireless companies had churns as high as 8 percent in the same stage. Churn is coming down fast and better than expected.

- 33 percent of customers take all 3 additional options, 50 percent take 2 additional options, and 66 percent take at least one option.

- ARPU of $37 includes about 0.60 for long distance.

- Few handsets. Typically 3 in each market. Nokia has 80 percent of the market. 1x handset Kyocera (with blue glow) is selling very well at $129/phone. Additional Kyocera phones had to be ordered to keep up with the good demand.

- 1x in Denver and Phoenix. Don't need it in other marekts. Will add when needed. Have a bit of an advantage.

- Buffalo launched on Feb 7.

- Marketing. 85 percent brand awareness reached within 90 days of the market launch. Better brand awareness than the local bell company.

- Hallmark green couch is helpful.

- Most customers are middle income.

- 6 percent have no land lines.
- 61 percent use cricket as primary phone.
- Some small businesses are buying in bulk for their employees.

- To Build ARPU: Making it easier to add long distance. Previously only in stores. Long distance pricing has been reduced. Mobile messaging is a possibility.

- Young dominate in customers. Trying to figure how to appeal to $9.95/month with 10 minutes emergency crowd of older people.

- Cost per Gross add is low because of: simple advertizing, no clutter, no disclaimers etc, that take up so much space, can repeat the same messag over and over again in various markets.

- Easier to negotiate with customers with a Green Couch than with Jamie Lee Curtis.

- Good distribution in Staples, Costco, and Best Buy
- Grocery stores - Krogers, Albertsons, Smith. Other Grocery stores want in. Simple for consumers. Add to Cart and cativate at home with an 800 number.

- Non-selling cash cost of service is $9/month/sub for a typical CDMA carrier. $5.56/month/sub for LWIN. Reason: Fewer cell sites. Cell sites only cover 70 percent of the POPs in each market. Less backhaul costs and less technicians.

- No question of bad debt as it is a pay in advance service.

- Vendor financing used to date 1.1 billion out of 1.8 billion that is available.

- 10 markets will become EBITDA in First quarter. More every quarter depending on the launch dates.

Hope this helps.

Arun

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