Investor sentiment surveys - a technical indicator Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Investor sentiment surveys - a technical indicator

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To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (85)	7/7/1997 10:23:00 AM
From: Q.	of 167

James, re. <<You have something with that bull/bear thingy, wish I could get just the numbers, with out the percent signs, and dilimited for importing into lotus>> If you subscribe to AOL, you can go to keyword AAII and download the data directly in Lotus format. Look for the reference library. Re. neutral respondents to surveys: I computed some correlation functions for the change in market price some weeks after the survey, using 10 years of AAII data, and I found that the market price actually showed better correlation with the % neutrals than with the % bears. So you are right to be interested in them. However, the anti-correlation with the % bulls was the strongest of the three. That's why in the effort to find a simple metric, I focus on the % bulls.

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