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Strategies & Market Trends : News Links and Chart Links
SPXL 213.12-0.1%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: John Madarasz who wrote (1547)3/2/2002 10:26:06 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (2) of 29596
 
ivolatility.com is showing the same jump in volatility on yesterday's rally as my chart program

ivolatility.com

NDX options implied volatility is 35
NDX options historical volatility jumped to 39 from 31
10-day historical volatility jumped to 50

ivolatility.com

OEX options implied volatility is 19
OEX options volatility went to 21.5 from 20

I normally see volatility move up in the rally off the first bottom in an IT bottom. The volatility will peak at the second bottom, and then drop as the market rallies out of the W. Historical volatility (HV) also spiked in each of the failed rallies last summer for the NDX. HV fell as the NDX fell since the 21-day MA was also falling at roughly the same rate as the index.
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